2026 Virginia Senate race

Incumbent: Mark R. Warner (Democrat)

Mark R. WarnerDemocrat97%

MRMark Robert WarnerDEMOCRATIC PARTY97%

vsD +95PredictIt ↗

Implied chance of winning — live PredictIt prices

IJR is not affiliated with any campaign and makes no political contributions. Boosts move coverage; membership funds the newsroom.

Public polling

Every synced reading, newest first

WarnerMizusawa

Trend: trailing 5-poll average · hover a dot for the poll behind it · 📰 pins mark news threads

Declared candidates

Source: FEC filings + public polling

Mark R. Warner
Democrat · Incumbent
Stated positions (42) ▾
- AI: Supports policies helping workers adapt to AI while addressing potential job disruptions. [1][2]
- AI workforce transition: Supports policies helping workers adapt to AI, encouraging employer investment in training, and ensuring shared economic growth. [1][2]
- Abortion:

More races

2026 Virginia House race — Donald S. Beyer, Jr.'s seat · same ballot Ben Cline

2026 Virginia House race — Ben Cline's seat · same ballot H. Morgan Griffith

2026 Virginia House race — H. Morgan Griffith's seat · same ballot Jennifer A. Kiggans

2026 Virginia House race — Jennifer A. Kiggans's seat · same ballot Jennifer L. McClellan

2026 Virginia House race — Jennifer L. McClellan's seat · same ballot John J. McGuire III

2026 Virginia House race — John J. McGuire III's seat · same ballot

Seats and incumbents from the public congress-legislators dataset; candidates from FEC filings and Wikipedia polling rosters; polls and aggregation averages via Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA) and public polling exports. The community pick is an unscientific reader poll. All active races →

Pollster	Date	Warner (D)	Mizusawa (R)	Spread
The Public Sentiment Institute	6/12 – 6/16	51	33	Warner+18
The Public Sentiment Institute/Virginia Project (R)	5/1 – 5/5	55	29	Warner+26